vi
6.6 Summary
249
6.7 Review
questions
250
6.8 Applications
251
Case
6.1
The equity premium puzzle
251
Case 6.2
Why you can’t fi nd a cab on a rainy day
254
Case 6.3
Consumer spending and housing wealth
257
PART III INTERTEMPORAL CHOICE
CHAPTER 7 The Discounted Utility Model
7.1 Introduction
261
7.2
Origins of the DUM
262
7.3
Features of the DUM
265
7.4
Methodology
269
7.5
Anomalies
in the DUM
273
7.6
Summary
278
7.7
Review questions
278
7.8 Applications
279
Case 7.1
Empirical estimates of discount rates
279
CHAPTER 8 Alternative Intertemporal Choice Models
8.1 Time
preference
285
8.2
Time inconsistent preferences
291
8.3 Hyperbolic
discounting
293
8.4
Modifying the instantaneous utility function
301
8.5
More radical models
305
8.6 Empirical
evidence
310
8.7 Policy
implications
315
8.8 Summary
324
8.9 Review
questions
325
8.10 Applications
326
Case 8.1
Price
plans for gym memberships
326
Case 8.2
The savings problem
327
Case 8.3
The desire for rising consumption profi les
332
PART IV STRATEGIC INTERACTION
CHAPTER 9 Behavioral Game Theory
9.1
Nature of behavioral game theory
336
9.2 Equilibrium
342
9.3 Mixed
strategies
350
9.4 Bargaining
358
9.5
Iterated games
365
9.6 Signaling
372
9.7 Learning
377
9.8 Summary
382
vii
9.9 Review
questions
383
9.10 Review
problems
384
9.11 Applications
385
Case 9.1
Penalty kicking in professional soccer
385
Case 9.2
Impasses in bargaining and self-serving bias
387
Case
9.3
Market
entry in monopoly
388
CHAPTER 10 Social Preferences
10.1
The standard model
393
10.2
The nature of social preferences
396
10.3
Factors affecting social preferences
405
10.4
Modeling social preferences
417
10.5
Inequality-aversion models
421
10.6 Reciprocity
models
425
10.7 Empirical
evidence
430
10.8 Policy
implications
441
10.9 Summary
447
10.10 Review questions
448
10.11 Applications
449
Case
10.1 The Wason Test
449
Case
10.2 Public goods and free riding
453
Case
10.3 Sales force compensation
455
Case
10.4 Too much virtue is a vice
457
PART V CONCLUSION
CHAPTER 11 Behavioral Economics: Summary and Outlook
11.1
The agenda of behavioral economics
461
11.2
Criticisms
of behavioral economics
463
11.3 Methodology
465
11.4 Are we really irrational?
470
11.5
Welfare and happiness
475
11.6
Problems in pursuing happiness
480
11.7 Policy
implications
484
11.8
Future directions for behavioral economics
491
11.9 Applications
495
Case
11.1 The effects of brain damage on decision-making
495
Case
11.2 Pursuing happiness
497
Case
11.3 The bioeconomic causes of war
499
Case
11.4 How to get
children to eat vegetables
502
Bibliography
504
Index
559
viii
List of Figures
3.1
Indifference curve map
66
3.2
Indifference curves and consumer equilibrium
67
3.3
Moment utility of two colonoscopies
90
3.4
Equilibrium with face-value interpretation
106
3.5
Equilibrium with weak diagnostic utility
107
3.6
Equilibrium with
moderate diagnostic utility
107
3.7
Equilibrium with strong diagnostic utility
108
5.1
EUT utility function
152
5.2 Rank-dependent probability weighting function with inverted S-shape
159
5.3
Friedman–Savage utility function
171
5.4
Markowitz utility function
172
5.5
PT utility function
173
5.6
A typical PT weighting function (1979 version)
179
5.7
A typical PT weighting function (1992 version)
181
5.8
Empirical decision-weighting
function for TK data
185
5.9 TAX
model
204
8.1
Shapes of discount functions
294
8.2
Exponential discounting and consistent time preferences
295
8.3
Hyperbolic discounting and inconsistent time preferences
296
8.4
Trend in household savings rates
328
9.1
Extensive form of ultimatum game
338
9.2
Extensive form of ultimatum game (Figure 9.1 repeated)
345
9.3
Cournot response curves
347
9.4
Centipede game
367
10.1
Disappointment/retaliation game
421
10.2
Centipede
game with reciprocity
429
10.3 Wason
Test
450
10.4
Wason Test in terms of a social contract
450
10.5
Wason Test in terms of a switched social contract
451
10.6
Wason Test in terms of different perspectives
452
10.7
Evolution of cooperation in public goods game
454
11.1
The Easterlin paradox (US, 1973–2004)
476