Universiteti xabarnomasi



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QO‘QON UNIVERSITETI XABARNOMASI 
 
 
 KOKAND UNIVERSITY HERALD 
 
 
ВЕСТНИК
 
КОКАНДСКОГО
 
УНИВЕРСИТЕТА
 
 


~ 9 ~ 
and poverty reduction, it currently has one of the highest population 
growth rates in the world, driven by its unique demographic 
momentum. will be preserved for some time. The effects of population 
growth on per capita economic growth and poverty were examined 
using aggregated data, combining macro and microeconomic 
approaches. Theoretical considerations and strong empirical evidence 
suggest that the current high population growth significantly reduces 
Uganda's per capita growth prospects. It also contributes significantly 
to poor poverty reduction achievements and is associated with 
persistent household poverty and the transition into poverty. This is 
likely to lead to significant improvements in poverty reduction and per 
capita growth." it is stated that 
After decades of stagnation and recession, Uganda has enjoyed 
relatively high per capita economic growth since the late 1980s. A return 
to peace and stability, significant economic and institutional reforms, 
and substantial foreign aid are the most important factors in this 
improvement. Sustained per capita growth has also led to a significant 
reduction in poverty, from 56 percent in 1992 to 39 percent in 2002 
(Appleton and Ssewanyana, 2003). However, per capita growth has 
slowed recently and poverty reduction has stalled. The question to be 
addressed in this paper is to what extent the very high (and increasing) 
population growth rate has been (and will be) a constraint on per capita 
economic growth and poverty reduction in Uganda. ). Population 
dynamics and economic growth Although Uganda may fall into the 
Malthusian trap of population growth, growth theory suggests that high 
population growth will have a serious negative impact on Uganda's 
economic growth per capita. 'secret shows. In the simplest growth 
model, the Harrod-Domar model, which assumes a production function 
with a fixed ratio of factors and constant marginal revenue for each 
factor, a one percent increase in population growth leads to a per capita 
economic growth of one percent. reduces by a percentage point. 
In a particular parameterization of the model presented by 
Mankiw, Roemer, and Weil (1992) (using the production function of the 
Cobb-Douglas economy), a population growth rate of 10% (e.g., 3% to 
3.3 %) will decrease the per capita income by 5% in a steady state. 
Conversely, if Uganda reduced its population growth rate to 10 percent 
(from 3.4 percent to 3.1 percent), it could expect to increase per capita 
income by 20 percent in the long run (which countries are expected to 
be stable countries called). approaching in 30 years or so) and it 
immediately embarks on an upward path of economic growth per capita 
to reach a sustainable level of per capita income. 

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