The Change Curve is based on a model originally developed in the 1960s by Elisabeth Kubler-Ross to explain the grieving process. Since then it has been
widely utilised as a method of helping people understand their reactions to significant change or upheaval.
Kubler-Ross proposed that a terminally ill patient would progress through five stages of grief when informed of their illness. She further proposed that this
model could be applied to any dramatic life changing situation and, by the 1980s, the Change Curve was a firm fixture in change management circles. The
curve, and its associated emotions, can be used to predict how performance is likely to be affected by the announcement and subsequent implementation of a
The Change Curve
curve in existence. However, the majority of them are consistent in their use of the following basic emotions, which are often grouped into three distinct
Stage 1 – Shock and denial
The first reaction to change is usually shock. This initial shock, while frequently short lived, can result in a temporary slow down and loss of productivity.
Performance tends to dip sharply, individuals who are normally clear and decisive seek more guidance and reassurance, and agreed deadlines can be missed.
The shock is often due to:
lack of information
fear of the unknown
fear of looking stupid or doing something wrong
After the initial shock has passed, it is common for individuals to experience denial. At this point focus tends to remain in the past. There’s likely to be a feeling
that as everything was OK as it was, why does there need to be a change?
Common feelings include:
being comfortable with the status quo
fear of failure
Individuals who have not previously experienced major change can be particularly affected by this first stage. It is common for people to convince themselves
that the change isn’t actually going to happen, or if it does, that it won’t affect them. Performance often returns to the levels seen before the dip experienced
during the initial shock of the change. People carry on as they always have and may deny having received communication about the changes, and may well
make excuses to avoid taking part in forward planning.
At this stage, communication is key. Reiterating what the actual change is, the effects it may have, and providing as much reassurance as possible, will all help
to support individuals experiencing these feelings.
Stage 2 – Anger and depression
After the feelings of shock and denial, anger is often the next stage. A scapegoat, in the shape of an organisation, group or individual, is commonly found.
Focussing the blame on someone or something allows a continuation of the denial by providing another focus for the fears and anxieties the potential impact is
causing. Common feelings include:
The lowest point of the curve comes when the anger begins to wear off and the realisation that the change is genuine hits. It is common for morale to be low,
and for self-doubt and anxiety levels to peak. Feelings during this stage can be hard to express, and depression is possible as the impact of what has been lost
is acknowledged. This period can be associated with:
At this point performance is at its lowest. There is a tendency to fixate on small issues or problems, often to the detriment of day to day tasks. Individuals may
continue to perform tasks in the same way as before, even if this is no longer appropriate behaviour.
People will be reassured by the knowledge that others are experiencing the same feelings. Providing managers, teams and individuals with information about
the Change Curve underlines that the emotions are usual and shared, and this can help to develop a more stable platform from which to move into the final
Stage 3 – Acceptance and integration
After the darker emotions of the second stage, a more optimistic and enthusiastic mood begins to emerge. Individuals accept that change is inevitable, and
begin to work with the changes rather than against them. Now come thoughts of:
exciting new opportunities
relief that the change has been survived
impatience for the change to be complete
The final steps involve integration. The focus is firmly on the future and there is a sense that real progress can now be made. By the time everyone reaches
this stage, the changed situation has firmly replaced the original and becomes the new reality. The primary feelings now include:
During the early part of this stage, energy and productivity remain low, but slowly begin to show signs of recovery. Everyone will have lots of questions and be
curious about possibilities and opportunities. Normal topics of conversation resume, and a wry humour is often used when referring to behaviour earlier in the
cement the more buoyant mood. It is not uncommon for there to be a return to an earlier stage if the level of support suddenly drops.
Each person reacts individually to change, and not all will experience every phase. Some people may spend a lot of time in stages 1 and 2, whilst others who
are more accustomed to change may move fairly swiftly into stage 3.
Although it is generally acknowledged that moving from stage 1 through stage 2 and finally to stage 3 is most common, there is no right or wrong sequence.
Several people going through the same change at the same time are likely to travel at their own speed, and will reach each stage at different times.
The Change Curve is a very useful tool when managing individual or team change. Knowing where an individual is on the curve will help when deciding on how
and when to communicate information, what level of support someone requires, and when best to implement final changes. Furnishing individuals with the
knowledge that others understand and experience similar emotions is the best way to return, with as little pain as possible, to optimal performance.
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